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Read articleVideo Did Not Kill The Radio Star
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Read articleThe Magic of OPM: Other People’s Money
Read articleThe Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects U.S. federal debt to grow to an unprecedented 200% of gross domestic product (GDP) over the next 30 years (from the CBO’s February 2023 Budget and Economic Outlook )…
Read articleYet, over at least the past 20 years, these CBO projections – based on the prevailing laws at the time of the forecast – have consistently underestimated the future debt burden by a huge margin (from Alpha Omega Wealth Management )…
Read articleFederal Reserve rate cuts are typically not an immediately bullish catalyst for U.S. stocks. Over the past five recessionary bear markets, stocks have bottomed between 2 months to 20 months after the Fed started cutting rates (from BofA Research via MacroVisor )…
Read articleBoth the post-Great Financial Crisis trend and valuation suggest the bear market has further to run (from Fidelity Investments/ Jurrien Timmer via Twitter )…
Read articleChina continues to dramatically reduce its holdings of U.S. Treasury debt (from ANZ Research via The Daily Shot )…
Read articleRay Dalio – the founder of hedge fund giant Bridgewater Associates – explains why recent bank failures could be a “canary in the coalmine” for more significant economic and financial troubles to come (from “ What I Think About the Silicon Valley Bank Situation ” on March 14)…
Read articleThe conventional wisdom says high-growth stocks are “long duration” assets that benefit from low or falling interest rates (and vice versa). Yet, as Cliff Asness – founder of AQR Capital Management – recently reminded investors, the conventional wisdom is mostly wrong ( via Twitter on March 17)…
Read articleCrescat Capital portfolio manager Otavio Costa – who has earned a massive social media following for his astute “macro” observations – notes that the current market and economic landscape is unlike anything investors have seen before ( via Twitter on March 19)…
Read articleAustralian investment professional Michael Block explains why basing your investment strategy on the “Goldilocks markets” of the last few decades may not be a wise decision ( via Investor Strategy News on March 24)…
Read articleMorgan Stanley Wealth Management shares some strategies for investing in a long-term inflationary environment ( on March 29 )…
Read articleThe Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) Ratio – which values stocks using a 10-year average of inflation-adjusted earnings to “smooth out” short-term fluctuations – shows the broad market remains historically expensive despite the bear market to date ( via Longtermtrends on April 1)…
Read articleBrent Donnelly, Wall Street veteran and president of Spectra Markets, shares a warning about popular “Big Tech” stocks ( via Friday Speedrun on April 7)…
Read article“Intermarket” analysis suggests economic weakness ahead ( from the Wall Street Journal on April 10)…
Read articleEconomic cycle analyst Eric Basmajian highlights a powerful recession “signaling system” and what it’s saying about the economy now ( via EPB Research on April 11)…
Read articleThe U.S. government’s interest expense has been surging ( from Charlie Bilello via Twitter on April 12)…
Read articleU.S cumulative tax refunds are running well below the levels we saw in recent years, suggesting the government’s deficits could widen even further in the months ahead (from the Internal Revenue Service via The Daily Shot on April 13)…
Read articleJurrien Timmer – Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments – believes the government’s high levels of debt could ultimately force the Federal Reserve to resume quantitative easing (QE) to hold Treasury bond yields artificially low ( via Twitter on April 14)…
Read articleBerkshire Hathaway Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett explains the “secret sauce” to his long-term investment success (from the Berkshire Hathaway 2022 Annual Report ):
Read articleDavid Senra, host of the Founders podcast, shares the most important lesson he learned from his recent dinner with Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger ( via Twitter on March 21)…
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